Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.127621 1.279174 1.444413 1.638090 1.859065 2.103546 2.394848
2026-01-11 0.905827 1.114373 1.361553 1.676768 2.069022 2.542327 3.158682
2026-01-18 0.768841 1.000025 1.290255 1.682667 2.201468 2.866766 3.789319
2026-01-25 0.662085 0.900714 1.214534 1.659482 2.277522 3.110615 4.327209
2026-02-01 0.575628 0.813735 1.139578 1.620838 2.318432 3.300291 4.800216
2026-02-08 0.506348 0.740528 1.072500 1.580964 2.346578 3.466702 5.248600
2026-02-15 0.464285 0.700601 1.046684 1.594907 2.450087 3.747182 5.890288
2026-02-22 0.423462 0.657529 1.010674 1.587630 2.517373 3.975252 6.469989
2026-03-01 0.385343 0.614344 0.969486 1.566560 2.558245 4.162204 6.998417
2026-03-08 0.343991 0.561833 0.908301 1.506327 2.527638 4.227482 7.325949
2026-03-15 0.318826 0.533094 0.882338 1.500815 2.586169 4.443929 7.932735
2026-03-22 0.307584 0.526337 0.891629 1.555157 2.751402 4.856801 8.929963
2026-03-29 0.279995 0.491672 0.854851 1.533586 2.794903 5.085585 9.668576
2026-04-05 0.263639 0.475586 0.849644 1.569835 2.951412 5.544637 10.920026
2026-04-12 0.244707 0.452645 0.829424 1.575339 3.049545 5.903773 12.021200
2026-04-19 0.224331 0.424799 0.797111 1.553697 3.091501 6.157188 12.938785
2026-04-26 0.204491 0.395889 0.759730 1.517621 3.099594 6.342230 13.734719
2026-05-03 0.186716 0.369188 0.723869 1.480395 3.100344 6.510812 14.515276
2026-05-10 0.176227 0.355922 0.713111 1.493413 3.207929 6.916566 15.881638
2026-05-17 0.164695 0.339377 0.694045 1.486619 3.271366 7.232886 17.083394
2026-05-24 0.153020 0.321403 0.670266 1.466947 3.303568 7.482415 18.159125
2026-05-31 0.139177 0.297536 0.631825 1.410707 3.245873 7.518675 18.715175
2026-06-07 0.130932 0.285041 0.616680 1.405561 3.306630 7.839653 20.034048